RP7 Stakeholder Consultation WEB - Flipbook - Page 24
4.2.1Step 1: Extensive forecasting
and modelling
We have utilised the expertise of
consultants to produce a range of
scenarios forecasting the potential
impact that changing customer
behaviour will have on our network. This
includes the uptake of electric vehicles,
heat pumps, battery storage and
renewable generation. The scenarios
also consider views from engagement
with our stakeholders to date, including,
SONI, the DfE and Renewables NI. Our
full range of scenarios are included in
Appendix 1.
Our best view scenario and what we
intend using as our assumptions for our
business plan, is the one we feel most
represents the change in consumer
behaviour during the RP7 period. We
have outlined this below and we would
be interested in your views on our
scenarios.
Q2. Do you think they are
realistic? Do you think our “best
view” scenario reflects the likely
changes in the RP7 period?
We know that achieving net zero will
not be possible unless we all work
together. To this end, we believe that
our forecasting information, like our EV
UP tool, which forecasts where and
when domestic EV charge points are
likely to materialise, will be beneficial
to wider stakeholders as they develop
their own net zero strategies which we
will make open in line with our ‘open
data’ and ‘whole system’ approach.
•Providing our expertise to local
authorities and councils to aid the
development of their net zero plans.
•Ensuring that local energy plans
are aligned, where possible, with
available network capacity.
•Ensuring that local energy plans
are fully considered when planning
electricity network reinforcement.
•Acting as a catalyst for joint
innovation between NIE Networks
and local authorities and councils,
including community energy and
microgrid schemes.
We are also proposing to mobilise
a ‘Local Area Energy Planning’ team
to engage with local authorities and
councils to aid the assessment of their
Climate Action Plans and support them
in their journey to net zero. Whilst our
thinking is still developing in this area,
benefits could include:
Figure 8 - Best view scenario
Electric
Vehicles
Heat Pumps
Generation
300,000 by 2030
120,000 by 2030
80% RES-E by 2030
80% of owners will
charge at home
Primarily located in
areas off the gas grid
Additional c.2GW of
renewable generation
required by 2030
2030 RES-E mix:
10% PV
20% other
70% on shore wind
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Northern Ireland Electricty Networks
Q3. Do you agree with the
mobilisation of an NIE Networks
Local Area Energy Planning team
to support wider stakeholders
including local authorities and
councils in their journey to net
zero? If so, is there any other
support that you feel the team
should provide?
