Elections Outlook Report - Flipbook - Page 7
President
Former President Donald Trump’s election night victory over Vice
President Kamala Harris exceeded expectations, with Trump
outperforming poll predictions both nationally and across all seven
key battleground states. The most significant shifts occurred in the
“blue wall” states—Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania—where
pre-election polls had shown effective ties. Trump, however, led in
all three, resulting in an average swing of 1.7 points in his favor from
pre-election projections.
Trump secured 312 electoral votes to Harris’s 226 and made history
by winning the popular vote—the first Republican to do so in 20
years. His appeal also extended into traditionally Democratic or
former swing states. Throughout his campaign, Trump emphasized
issues like border security, tariffs, inflation, and crime related to
illegal immigration—topics that clearly resonated with American
voters. Exit polls revealed Trump made notable gains among
Hispanic and Black voters, showing broader demographic appeal
compared to previous elections.
Results by state
Democrat
Republican
226 Harris
270 for win
Trump
312
As of Nov. 12, 2024
