CETANA PROOF - Flipbook - Page 102
FORWARD
STATE OF
THE MARKET
THE NEW KID
ON THE BLOCK
THE PROJECT
OVERCOMING
CHALLENGES
CONCLUSION
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
climate niche. Scientists have found with 6,000 years of
human history that society thrives when we stay within this
climate niche and the turbulence that ensues when it is pushed
out of this zone (defined by an optimal temperature range
for human health and productivity of 11-15°C and an optimal
annual precipitation range of 750-1250 mm, Marten Scheffer
2020). The study found that for every 1 degree Celsius of
global average warming, 1 billion people will have to adapt or
migrate to stay within climate conditions that are best suited
for crop production, livestock and a sustainable outdoor work
environment. The study breaks new ground by quantifying the
temperature range society is most adapted to and projecting
how climate change will push people outside it.
“What we have looked for is humanity’s sensitivity to warming,
and that is about 1 billion people in trouble per degree [Celsius] of
warming,” said study co-author and Dutch research ecologist Marten Scheffer of the Santa Fe Institute and Wageningen University.
They found that people, crops and livestock have heavily
concentrated in a narrow band of relatively constrained climate
conditions. This range, referred to in the study as the human
“climate niche,” has remained largely unchanged for 6,000 years.
Projecting into the future using a scenario with high emissions
of heat-trapping greenhouse gasses, the researchers found
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